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[personal profile] zka
This question comes from [personal profile] garote: Why did we choose the Netherlands? How does one choose a destination, anyway?

Our answer is a long, rambling story. The vital bit isn't the destination itself, but rather the process of exploring what's possible, especially with constraints (time, age, abilities, giant dog). Keep in mind that we've felt a sense of urgency since the election, like we could become trapped unless we hurry. I wanted to leave quickly, but I also didn't want to "settle", or wait for the choice to be made for us. We discussed a dozen destinations; if Plan A didn't work out, then we'd fall back on Plan B, etc.

I admit that the Netherlands wasn't our initial choice. Our first impulse was to move to Canada.

Not Canada


Shortly after January's inaugeration, Canada seemed like the obvious choice, because it was logistically easy. "We can just drive there." We have a large, ill-tempered dog, and the ability to drive her to our destination was a huge advtange, compared to the expense and stress of shipping her via airplane. English is spoken there. My husband had prior experience living in the French-speaking parts, and he raved about it.

My primary care doctor also had a hot tip: Canada has fast(er) tracks to citizenship, for skilled professionals. In my line of work (software engineering) this is the "Federal Skilled Worker Program".

Also, unlike the USA, Canada doesn't consider visitors performing remote work for a foreign employer to be "work" that requires a work permit.

One downside of this program is that it's a lottery: you submit your application, and hope they draw your name to participate in the program. Another drawback is that you need to score enough points on a qualifying test. Briefly, there are 6 categories (but I haven't included all the point values):

  • Language test: 24 points.

  • Education.

  • Career (occupation, and years of experience).

  • Age (younger is better): max 12 points.

  • Working in Canada: do you have employment guaranteed before you arrive?

  • "Adaptability": extra points if your partner passes the language test, or if your partner worked in Canada previously with a valid work permit, etc. Max 10 points.


^^ Language: You can take the Canadian Language Benchmark (CLB) test at selected sites in the United States, and prepare by watching practice tests on YouTube. As a native American English speaker, I found the test to be surprisingly challenging. It includes tasks like: study a complex photograph for 15 seconds, then speak a fluent description of everything in the photograph, including breakdowns of what the people seem to be doing, and environmental cues. You have 45 seconds.

^^ Age: The max score is 12 points. Beyond age 47, you receive zero points. I guess that's the age when folks become a drain on the medical establishment? :(

As of 2025, the minimum qualifying score was 67 points. I could potentially qualify, just barely, if I snagged all 10 points for Adaptability. :( :( It seemed like a long shot.

Canada would have been easier, and more attractive, if I had a job lined up; a guarantee of employment. This is probably much easier than do-it-yourself immigration: Let your new employer handle the paperwork. Note that I did not have this opportunity, and by the time I started applying to jobs, I realized the tech job market was in dismal shape, compared to 2020. If other Americans are suddenly applying for positions, then you're competing against all of them; they're potentially younger (than me), and more attractive to prospective employers.

Also, Canada isn't immune to economic strife. There's an ongoing discussion about Canadians living in poverty; Vancouver has become unaffordable to many Canadians. Nowhere is perfect, but we started having second thoughts.

Not the U.K.


For the "big move", I wanted to aim high, and find somewhere prosperous and relatively stable, where we could enjoy life and thrive. One of my husband's top priorities was finding somewhere amicable to the LGBTQ community. I wanted to travel and explore (since I've hardly gone anywhere in 10 years). The most attractive destinations seemed to be Europe and the UK.

From January through April, I tried arranging an "international transfer" at my job (a large tech company, with offices around the globe). Also I applied for new positions at the international offices, and interviewed with a team in London.

I'm unable to share the reasons these maneuvers didn't work out, but the point is: they weren't interested in assisting with my international move. In the eyes of upper management, there was no business justification for it. If I had been chosen to (say) lead a fledgling team in Munich, then obviously they would have green-lit a move to Germany. Sadly, I was on my own.

The Netherlands


Even before we dreamt of Canada, I rediscovered this excellent talk about 'Residency Hacking' at Toorcamp 2024. May I recommend watching this video, and taking notes? (It's an hour long, so some level of focus and attention is required. Remember college lectures? Remember the days before smart phones, when you had a longer attention span than a goldfish??)

The speaker (T-Prophet) presents many paths to citizenship in other countries, and some tactics for living remotely longer than a few months. For example, there are nations that let you flat-out buy citizenship! Seriously, watch the video. Opportunities are everywhere, and they're constantly in flux; I wouldn't be surprised if other countries provided special immigration paths for Americans soon. (... :( ...)

T-Prophet describes one interesting possibility: The Netherlands and the USA made a pact in the 1950's, called the Dutch-American Friendship Treaty ("DAFT"). After World War II, the Dutch people wanted to rebuild and strengthen their economy. This is a stereotype, and probably not why the pact was created, but: Since Americans are good businessmen, why not import them as entrepreneurs??! It sounds insane by today's standards, but as T-Prophet points out, once a government institution like DAFT is established, it tends to stick around forever. This sounded like a promising lead.

In January, I reconnected with former clients, and inquired if they were still hiring contractors (i.e. me); some were interested! Before my 5-year gig at the big tech company, I was self-employed for 12 years. I don't consider myself a "good" businessman, but I survived, and I imagine I can do it again.

My husband lived in Amsterdam in his 20's, and loved the experience. So we felt excited about this possibility.

We contacted 3 immigration attorneys in the Netherlands, and scheduled virtual consultations (due to the time zone difference, these were always early in the morning; late afternoons for them). They were booked weeks in advance (again, what is happening to America? Are people trying to leave in droves, or something??) so we had to wait a bit. But we liked the first attorney, so we agreed to engage with her, and cancelled the other meetings.

I am not a lawyer, so the following information should not be regarded as legal advice. You'll want to hire an attorney to clarify these points, and ensure you're fulfilling all the requirements of DAFT, for yourself. But this is a general overview of how it's worked, so far:

  • Secure a residence address, in the Netherlands. We used a property hunter, who specifically works with expat's. After signing the lease (virtually), we flew to the Netherlands and picked up the keys to our rental. (If you have cool Dutch friends, maybe they'll let you use their address, to receive mail etc; this is valid too. Temporary residences like AirBnB's are not allowed, apparently they do check this.)

  • Open a Dutch bank account. There's a virtual bank (Bunq) which doesn't require Dutch ID, for the first 90 days!

  • Dutch ID: Our attorney set up critical appointments for getting the Residence Endorsement Sticker, Biometrics, and Town Hall Registration. (Our first appointment was today.)

  • When I have a Dutch ID number, I can create a business entity in the Netherlands. This will likely be a B.V. (similar to an American LLC). This comes with some perks: you can exchange your American driver's licence for a Dutch one, without taking the driver's test. There are some tax advantages. Etc. The financial requirements may be stricter, I have a consultation with a tax professional tomorrow; if the B.V. isn't possible, then the other option is a sole proprietorship (aka "eenmanszak").

  • DAFT requires a business bank account to exist, with a minimum balance at all times (4,500 euros). This will be audited annually. Never touch this money.

  • DAFT also requires you to have 2 (or more) clients annually. If you only have 1 client, then you're effectively an employee of that client; you can be kicked out of the DAFT program, and you'll need to shift to a different track to citizenship. If a company loves you, and wants to hire you, they can sponsor you for an employment visa.

  • You must live in the Netherlands for 183 days per year (half the year).

  • Your partner will receive a regular Dutch working visa, and can apply for jobs.

  • You become a permanent resident after 5 years if you learn the Dutch language. Don't ask me how they test for this; I'm nowhere near ready!


Don't "Settle"


Initial impressions of the Netherlands: I appreciate how the Dutch people are direct, without overusing formalities. I love all the bicycling. Groceries are delicious, and taste healthier than the USA. It is expensive, and the housing market is competitive. The Dutch people love their dogs (but will they love our 65-pound barking poodle?? To be determined.)

From a purely selfish angle, I've fantasized about living abroad (especially in Europe) since my 20's, yet I never tried to make this a reality. I'm excited to finally close this mental loop, and thrilled that we're adjacent to friggin' Amsterdam, in Europe of all places. This is the riskiest endeavor of my life, and we're experiencing culture shock on an hourly basis, in an expensive part of the world. I'm still optimistic about our future here.

Since January, we've felt the need to hurry up and leave the USA, so that's why we investigated so many possible destinations. I'm glad we found a place to love, and in the long-run I think I'll appreciate not moving somewhere just to work a new desk job, with a high level of stress and frustration.

This is our sixth day, and this afternoon we were granted permanent resident visas for 2 years. This is big news!! The immigration official said that we were approved so rapidly because we used an immigration attorney.

What other topics should I rant about ?? Lemme know. Big list of ideas:

  • Plans for the next year, and beyond.

  • Shipping a live animal overseas.

  • Saying goodbye to your precious belongings, and illusions of security.

  • What you actually need to bring: medical records, etc.

  • My embarrassing attempts at learning the Dutch language, and assimilating to their way of life.

THE NET

Jul. 7th, 2025 06:14 pm
garote: (io error)
[personal profile] garote
Matt: We should do a watch party some night. How about ... THE NET?

Me: Gruh, that was 1995?

(Rummaging around in digital archives.)

Me: Stop your grinnin' and drop your linen. The movie starts at 10pm. Let's go.

(0:00 in.)

Matt: Here comes the MIDI brass!
Me: Ooo! Intriguing music for such an awful movie.

(0:05 in.)

Me: Faaake! MacOS did not use "/" as a folder separator! My disbelief is throughly de-suspended.
Matt: Oh believe me, that won't be the least accurate thing in this movie.
Me: Oh yeaaah the online the pizza order...
Matt: Fun fact, Sandra Bullock really was one of the earliest proponents of Internet food ordering.
Me: That was like, already a combination of really cool and really wanky, even then. Also: No one eats like that, and looks like her.

(0:15 in.)

Matt: Oh look, a small aircraft at a critical plot point, I wonder what will happen.
Me: Yeah there's no reason we'd be seeing this unless...

(KABOOOOM)

Me: Yeah there it is.
Matt: That wasn't the tower he was supposed to contact. And also that's not what we meant by contact.

(0:20 in. Sandra is on the beach, with a laptop. An older guy is nearby, also on a laptop.)

Me: This guy is a villain, right?
Matt: WHAT GAVE IT AWAY
Me: The hair.

(0:25 in.)

Me: Okay, so, uh, DOES THIS MOVIE ACTUALLY HAVE A PLOT? We're almost 25 minutes in, and so far it does not.
Matt: Maybe it's one of the special features on the DVD.

(0:29 in.)

Me: At what point does she use her super hax0r skills to not get murdered at sea?
Matt: Well... I think she plays snake on her phone with a hacked skill level to avoid getting bored out of her mind.
Me: Wait; he unloaded the gun and put it away below decks after killing that guy, but now he's going down to get it, even though the plan was to kill her the whole time?
Matt: Don't overthink it. He clearly didn't.

(0:31 in. Sandra and the creepy guy are making out.)

Me: Okay, NOW THEY'RE PLAYING "SNAKE". AM I RIGHT PEOPLE?
Matt: Looks more like Tetris to me.

(0:35 in. The camera is focusing on the villain's lips. They fill the screen as he talks.)

Me: Mr. Winkler made a dumb decision with those close-ups. That was like, "student project" directing.
Matt: Yeah, I think that editing was considered edgy for the '90s. But what it really looks like to me is somebody who mostly shot for TV.
Me: I'm enjoying the fact that I can google stuff about this movie while watching it. Me from 1995 would find that hilarious.

(0:49 in. Sandra is running from the law, and meets up with Dennis Miller.)

Matt: And there he is!
Me: You know, I kinda forgot, 1995 Sandra is not actually a very good actor. She has two modes: Slightly checked-out, or panicked motormouth.
Matt: Dialogue can be written for her, and she looks good on camera, but yeah, it's not the same thing.
Me: Dennis Miller isn't great either, but for a totally different reason. I mean, he's very natural, but that's because he's not acting. He's just being Dennis Miller.

(0:53 in.)

Me: Tell me Dennis ad-libbed that toilet line.
Matt: I feel like he either did it as a formal rewrite or ad-libbed it, yeah. Because that clearly didn't come out of the rest of these writers.
Me: AGREED. So, is he gonna get killed in like 35 seconds?

(1:00 in.)

Me: Awwww, they had to actually spell out IRL!
Matt: "You know what would help, Sandra, is if you just like read the screen out loud, because most people who go to see hacker movies can't actually read. Our focus group thinks this is what it will take."
Me: "Also, while you read it, we're going to film your lips moving. Right up close. Try not to think about it."

(1:02 in. Dennis has just been poisoned.)

Me: Okay it took longer than 35 seconds, but he is going to die, right?
Matt: I honestly can't remember.

(Sandra is using stolen hacking software to look something up in hospital's medical records.)

Me: Hold on. You looked at a record on the internet, and used that as confirmation that the last record you saw on the internet was fake? Now that's just dumb.
Matt: IT WAS A SIMPLER TIME.

(1:07. Dennis is being poisoned again, but worse.)

Me: Awww Dennis. I knew you were gonna die as soon as you walked on-screen.

(1:15 in. Sandra has just yanked an old computer monitor off a desk. It shatters on the floor.)

Matt: Now I don't know about you, but I've dropped a few CRTs from a second floor, and those things don't shatter that easy.

(1:20 in. Sandra is being chased by cops for driving a stolen car.)

Me: Okay, so Sandra has like, 20 minutes to turn this all around. And so far she's done nothing but ask a couple of guys for help, and run from people. Now both the guys are dead and she's in jail. When are we going to see some h4x0r skills?

(1:25 in. Sandra has just crashed another car and is running from a fake FBI agent.)

Me: ... Okay now Sandra has less than 15 minutes to turn this all around.

(1:33 in. Sandra has finally decided to infiltrate the headquarters of the company pursuing her.)

Me: Cathedral, Inc! We do software security like gangbusters, but we don't lock our doors, and we don't have a front desk! No one has a badge, no one asks who you are, there are no security cameras, and we never log out of our machines when we leave!

(1:36 in. Columns of numbers are zipping around on the screen.)

Matt: Nice. A subnet octet greater than 255. I wonder if somebody was thinking that was like the "555-1212" of the internet.
Me: Yeah that was .... a whole lot of confusing.

(1:42 in.)

Matt: Oh here it is, here it is! The theme scene for the whole film! Wait fooor iiiiit...

(Sandra attempts to put a 3.5" disk into a drive but shoves it in upside down. It jams. She pulls it back out and turns it over.)

Matt: Ta daaa! Did you catch that?
Me: "That's the take we'll use!"

(1:46 in. Sandra has just restored her entire digital life by pressing one key.)

Matt: And there you go.
Me: It just ends?
Matt: What did you think?
Me: Well, to start, I'm glad I didn't watch that movie 30 years ago. Because honestly it's better as a horrendous time capsule, and by "better", what I mean is, less than completely intolerable.

(The credits are finally rolling.)

Me: "Adam Winkler" as "COMPUTER NERD". Hey, there are like 4 Winklers in this cast.
Matt: Yeah they got Winklered to hell.
Me: Very Winklery.
zka: (Default)
[personal profile] zka
My husband, myself, and our 4-year-old poodle have safely relocated from the USA to the Netherlands.

I promised to detail aspects of our journey, for those curious about moving themselves: How does the process work? What is required? I hope to have enough time and energy to write more posts on this topic, because I feel it's important, and in fact urgent for many of us tagged as minorities (e.g.: you're not heterosexual, or you're not white, or you believe in the scientific method, etc).

This post is about something called the Apostille Stamp (pronounced: "app-uh-STEEL").

If you're American by birth, you possess a birth certificate. If you're married, you also possess a marriage certificate. These are important documents, yes? They prove your date of birth, and who you're legally married to. You need these documents to register for citizenship in foreign countries, and do other citizen magic: acquire insurance, get a driver's license, prepare a legally-binding will, etc.

However! By default, these American certificates are not recognized in other countries. Your default birth cerficate effectively does not prove your identity; your marriage is not valid outside of the USA. This applies even to the original documents; they are as useless as a copy of the original would be.

The only way to validate these certificates for other countries, is to get something called an Apostille Stamp. Scroll down to the list of Contracting States: If any of these 127 countries sound like desirable long-term destinations, then you'll want to get the Apostille Stamp on your certificates. The stamp instantly makes your certificates valid in every other country on this crazy-long list. You can just show the stamped document to government officials there, and they'll say "okay", and you're golden.

Let me say this up front: Given how the United States federal government is being dismantled from inside-out, and how multitudes of people are scrambling to exit the USA, I recommend getting your documents stamped with the Apostille as soon as possible. In this post, I'll repeat this idea several times, because if you're entertaining the idea of moving to another country, and you're thinking you can "wait" and "see what happens" regarding the paperwork, you will run out of time.

Stop lying to yourself with phrases like, "I'm sure things will work themselves out."

Certified Birth Certificate


You will need a certified birth certificate to get the stamp. Is your birth certificate certified? If you don't know, then the answer is most likely: no, it is not.

In my case, I mailed my birth certificate to get the apostille stamp, only to learn that the certificate itself was uncertified, "too old", and the original recorder's signature wasn't "in the system". This was expensive (I paid for overnight delivery and return), but also a big waste of time. You can fix all these problems by obtaining a certified birth certificate:

Contact the Recorder's Office, in the county where you were born. In my case, this was Santa Cruz County, California. (The phone number on the Recorder's website always dumped me into voicemail, with no callbacks. After calling other numbers at the same building, someone picked up and transferred me to a friendly human at the Recorder's Office. Be persistent!)

The Recorder's Office should have a copy of your birth certificate on file. In my case, they were able to confirm this over the phone. Each state has different fees when ordering certified copies, but it wasn't too expensive (mine was around $45 for 2 copies). As it turns out, the Santa Cruz Recorder's Office doesn't deal with orders directly, they use third-party vendors to manage the orders and shipping.

Allow me to kindly-but-firmly recommend that you order two certified copies of your birth certificate, maybe more. There may be times when you'll send one copy off for processing somewhere, and you'll want to possess a spare.

More importantly, each state has different processing times. The third-party vendor in Santa Cruz was fast (a few days), other states may be slower.

Yes, if they offer expedited shipping, you should absolutely pay for it. Jump to the head of the queue, whenever possible.

Seriously, if you don't have certified copies of your birth certificate, order these now. Only a certified copy can receive the apostille stamp.

Apostille Stamp


Documents can only be stamped with an apostille in the state where they were issued. This typically happens at the state capitol, in the Secretary of State Notary's office.

Normally you would mail your certificate(s) to the Notary's office, and include payment, and pre-paid postage so the completed documents can be mailed back to you.

You can also achieve same-day processing if you show up in person. We drove our marriage and birth certificates to Oregon's capitol (Salem). They successfully stamped the marriage certificate (we were married in Portland), but informed us that our birth certificates needed to be stamped by our birth states: California (me) and South Carolina (husband).

Since I wasted time with a non-certified birth certificate which was "too old", I didn't have sufficient days left to await processing by mail to-and-from the capitol of Calfornia, Sacramento. Originally the website for the Sacramento Notary's Office claimed the processing time by mail was 3 days. By the time I had a certified birth certificate in hand, that estimate had increased to 5 days. (Hmm, are many other Americans suddenly lining up to use this service?)

I ended up booking a same-day flight from Portland to Sacramento, just to get my two birth certificates stamped with the apostille. This ended up being a nice day trip, but at the expense of a good night's sleep from the early flight, missing a full day of potential packing, and nearly $1,000 for the airfare. :(

Don't be like me, and don't delay until the last minute, especially if processing times are creeping ever-longer: get the apostille stamp now.

The apostille itself isn't too exciting: it's a metallic seal, and an extra piece of paper stapled to the original document, and a stamp spanning both papers. Tearing the pages apart renders the apostille invalid.

But Why Should I Lift a Finger


I know, this stuff is really inconvenient, and it costs money. Even worse, you may have to do some web-research, and find ways to contact government offices, and crap like that. Wouldn't you rather spiral in a vortex of ADHD doom-scrolling? Or numb yourself with Assassin's Creed, or whatever the kids are playing now?

I strongly encourage anyone who's remotely interested in exiting the USA to take this seriously. Please, stop what you're doing, and get certified birth certificates, with apostille stamps. Government services like Recorder's Offices and Notaries should be considered at-risk at this moment in time, and are likely already understaffed. As the power structure of the federal government lurches towards dictatorship, these services could be stripped away entirely, without warning.

I'm not a refugee, but I imagine it's much easier to find another home with an apostille stamp, than to be suddenly relocated as a refugee due to a fascist takeover.

Seriously, get certified birth certificates. Get apostille stamps. These documents are required for citizenship, in 126 other excellent countries as of 2025. Ignore this advice at your own peril.

If we had known this information, and acted sooner, then we could have saved much grief and stress, especially in the harrowing days leading up to our final flight out of the USA.

Do you want more posts about exiting the USA? Let me know what topics I should rant about.

Well this is a new low for the SSA

Jul. 3rd, 2025 09:01 pm
garote: (zelda custom flame war)
[personal profile] garote

I just received an unsolicited email from the Social Security Administration.

The Social Security Administration (SSA) is celebrating the passage of the One Big, Beautiful Bill, a landmark piece of legislation that delivers long-awaited tax relief to millions of older Americans.

The bill ensures that nearly 90% of Social Security beneficiaries will no longer pay federal income taxes on their benefits, providing meaningful and immediate relief to seniors who have spent a lifetime contributing to our nation's economy.

“This is a historic step forward for America’s seniors,” said Social Security Commissioner Frank Bisignano. ...

So naturally I did what any sensible citizen would, and went to https://secure.ssa.gov/oig/fraud/ and reported The Social Security Administration to The Social Security Administration for committing waste and abuse.

I'm reporting waste and abuse. The waste and abuse was perpetrated by you.

The email you just sent out to millions of people titled "Social Security Applauds Passage of Legislation Providing Historic Tax Relief for Seniors" was inappropriately partisan while also being a distortion of the truth about the legislation's content. It does not actually grant the tax exemption you claim it does!!

Political statements have ZERO PLACE in this office's communications. Don’t corrupt this department with empty platitudes praising ANY administration. The president is not your department's master, it's the constitution, and the American people behind that document. Your communications should NOT BE POLITICAL. I mean, dang, any eighth grader who's taken a civics class would know that. Now return the money of mine that you just wasted through your fraud and abuse of this system.

Now with any luck they'll get off my lawn.

garote: (ultima 4 combat)
[personal profile] garote

In March of 2022 I made the following guess about the eventual outcome of Russia's Ukraine invasion:

Russia will blast Ukraine into powder, extract some concession like "we won't join NATO and those new republics are not part of Ukraine", then pull back into the republics, leaving them bristling with hardware for years. The Russian economy will burn low for a long while during which they will be at the mercy of the Chinese and whatever belt-and-road-style economic devil's bargain they care to name. Animosity between Europe and Russia, the US and Russia, will remain high for a decade, accomplishing nothing.
Ukraine will remain a depopulated ruin for at least that long. The EU will turn up its nose, sensing another debtor country like Greece. Putin will die or ""step down"" in something like five years, probably less, and his replacement will try and turn the page with the West, but without internal reforms the hands that are extended will all be those of the same old oligarchs and the Russian people will continue to be screwed for another generation, continue to be susceptible to jingoism and propaganda, and will lean even harder into the Chinese philosophy of governance: Not a government of, by, and for the people, but a people of, by, and for the government (by swordpoint if necessary).

This guess was mostly about stagnation. I figured the situation would not change for years, even as more people died and more hardware was thrown at both sides. This has come true, though there are some external consequences: NATO is re-arming and growing more independent, and Russia's ostensible allies are taking advantage of their economy being leveraged out over a financial abyss.

I set a limit of five years, which was a bit arbitrary, but I'm rolling with it. I think we're still headed for this state of affairs two years from now and there's only one thing that could realistically alter the course: Russia's economy going into a complete tailspin, before Putin's death.

If that happens, the Russian people might, maybe, get so sick of total war and sending their sons into a meat grinder that they strike Moscow hard enough to put a crack in the state oligarchy. But if I'm honest, this is unlikely. Never underestimate the capacity of Russian people to suffer.

Rebuilding journal search again

Jun. 30th, 2025 03:18 pm
alierak: (Default)
[personal profile] alierak posting in [site community profile] dw_maintenance
We're having to rebuild the search server again (previously, previously). It will take a few days to reindex all the content.

Meanwhile search services should be running, but probably returning no results or incomplete results for most queries.

Whither working men?

Jun. 29th, 2025 10:58 pm
garote: (ultima 6 bedroom 2)
[personal profile] garote
(Paraphrased from Of Boys and Men: Why the Modern Male Is Struggling, Why It Matters, and What to Do About It.)

Six out of ten births to women without a high-school diploma occur out of wedlock. For women with a four-year college degree, that ratio is only one out of ten. And even if college educated women are not married by the time they have their first child, they are quite likely to be married by the time they have a second, usually to the man who is the father of both children.

Thus, marriage remains a central part of life to college-educated women, which seems like a contradiction: The women who are least likely to need a partner for economic support are the most likely to get married, and stay married.

To resolve this contradiction we acknowledge a shift in the purpose of marriage: Partners now see it as a joint venture for the purpose of parenting. A shared commitment to invest in kids, more than a commitment to financially support a spouse. "'Till death do us part" has transformed into something more like "'til the kids get into college."



Middle-class men, in white collar jobs, have seen their wages stay high, or even grow, in the last 40 years. Their access to more resources has also given them the security to evolve beyond the traditional male role, which makes them attractive prospects for affluent women.

Those women still weigh a man by his economic success, but also seek one who is "modern": Willing to share the practical duties of child-raising, more emotionally sophisticated, more respectful of women's choices.

Meanwhile, working-class men have seen their wages collectively drop. This has hollowed out their value and usefulness in the traditional male role: They struggle to be providers. To working-class women, these men are risky marriage prospects. Many women in fact choose to avoid the risk of marrying a "deadbeat", and elect to remain single parents. Not because they can thrive as single parents, but because they don't want things to get worse.

So, high earners are pooling resources in a marriage to raise kids; low earners are shying away from marriage because it threatens what little they have. And since affluent parents invest much more heavily in their kids, those kids tend to go on and become high earners, cycling this class division forward into the next generation.

So what do you do, as a working-class guy, when you barely make enough money to support yourself, and the women who will date you don't see you as marrying material? Your work life is unstable, your social life is unstable, your religious practice has atrophied, and you still somehow need to finance the core of a new nuclear family, with spouse and home and car and kids, and keep it stable. But how? Everything is telling you to be something you can't reach. Your idea of what it means to be a man, of what your own personal destiny is, starts to drift.

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